Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.179782 0.201911 0.225065 0.251041 0.279314 0.309098 0.342788
2025-02-23 0.155800 0.186640 0.220495 0.260223 0.305364 0.354859 0.413024
2025-03-02 0.132135 0.167765 0.208583 0.258388 0.317084 0.383617 0.464274
2025-03-09 0.114934 0.153863 0.200206 0.258732 0.329915 0.412914 0.516184
2025-03-16 0.100355 0.141231 0.191667 0.257400 0.339651 0.437985 0.563147
2025-03-23 0.091376 0.134480 0.189381 0.262922 0.357211 0.472350 0.621713
2025-03-30 0.081678 0.125669 0.183475 0.262991 0.367336 0.497324 0.668967
2025-04-06 0.073276 0.117690 0.177821 0.262629 0.376353 0.520648 0.714287
2025-04-13 0.066011 0.110535 0.172572 0.262168 0.384767 0.542994 0.758499
2025-04-20 0.060534 0.105406 0.169616 0.264389 0.396472 0.569560 0.808439
2025-04-27 0.057091 0.102962 0.170178 0.271303 0.414506 0.604654 0.870064
2025-05-04 0.052729 0.098670 0.167674 0.273552 0.425948 0.631019 0.920532
2025-05-11 0.048980 0.095192 0.166371 0.277770 0.440736 0.662936 0.980153
2025-05-18 0.046816 0.094101 0.168568 0.287143 0.463052 0.705624 1.055235
2025-05-25 0.042194 0.088418 0.163220 0.284849 0.468350 0.724820 1.098651
2025-06-01 0.038578 0.084110 0.159707 0.285047 0.477105 0.748860 1.149051
2025-06-08 0.034985 0.079469 0.155293 0.283515 0.483068 0.768910 1.194137
2025-06-15 0.033103 0.077797 0.155644 0.289417 0.500240 0.805206 1.262562
2025-06-22 0.030367 0.074214 0.152492 0.289461 0.508373 0.828514 1.312936
2025-06-29 0.027812 0.070712 0.149211 0.289055 0.515661 0.850603 1.361833
2025-07-06 0.025475 0.067396 0.146009 0.288548 0.522650 0.872260 1.410360
2025-07-13 0.023752 0.065174 0.144606 0.290938 0.534175 0.900772 1.469204
2025-07-20 0.022837 0.064594 0.146160 0.298387 0.553904 0.941874 1.547036